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2010年1月14日台中市大同扶輪社例會 演講

Tâi-ôan-kok ê hiong-chhin ta̍k-ke-hó 台灣國的鄉親大家好

本次主題:ECFA Emerging Crisis Formosa is Affronting

演講者:國立成功大學法學院副教授 許忠信 博士、德國海德堡大學交換學者。
台中市大同扶輪社例會 地點 長榮桂冠酒店 台中市



The Ma administration in Taiwan argues that Taiwan is in the imminent risk of marginalization in the world trading system because China and ASEAN will form a free trade area (hereinafter referred to as 「ASEAN plus China」)in 2010, and also because Taiwan has failed to establish any free trade agreement(hereinafter referred to as 「FTA」)with major trading nations like the United States and Japan. In order to prevent Taiwan from that alleged marginalization, the Ma administration proposes eagerly to sign Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement(hereinafter referred to as 「ECFA」)with China. By this way, the Ma administration thinks that Taiwanese products can be transshipped into ASEAN countries via China.1 In addition, the Ma administration further thinks that signing ECFA with China not only can normalize the trade relations with China, but also can greatly increase the opportunity to sign FTA with the United States.

The above arguments are not persuasive. First, under the WTO regime, WTO trade is normal, FTA trade is abnormal, i.e., is an exception to the principle of most favored nation treatment(a bifurcation of the principle of non-discrimination).2 So, in order to normalize trade relations with China, what we need to do is to implement WTO rules with China, not to sign ECFA with it. Second, Taiwans failure to sign FTA with the United States has some causes.

The main cause for that is Chinas objection. Most of the top 100 U.S. enterprises have invested in China, and China exercises pressure on these enterprises through tax measures or operation licenses, asking them to stop congressmen who have received their financial supports from supporting any FTA proposals with Taiwan.3 Third, Taiwans trade history has provided us with empirical evidences that Taiwan will not be marginalized by the mere establishment of ASEAN plus China. This article relies on relevant WTO rules (law)and Taiwans trade history (historic facts), reviewing Taiwans trade history in retrospect, observing Taiwans present environments in the world, and foreseeing Taiwans prospects in the future. It concludes that Taiwan will not be marginalized even without singing EFCA with China and that, to the contrary, Taiwan will become Chinas frontier if EFCA is really signed.







WTO conomic-Cooperation-Framework-Agreement ASEAN-plus-China free-trade-agreement FTA bifurcation non-discrimination tax-easures operation-licenses Taiwan’s-Trade-History-and Taiwan’s-Geography Dutch-Colonial-Period Tungnin-Kingdom-Period Manchu-Colonial-Period Japanese-Colonial-Period Chinese-Nationalist-regime-Colonial-Period

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感謝 MD, PhD. 張啟中 醫師 熱情提供資訊給大家分享,看影片請至「性與醫學」主題館,
台中市大同扶輪社 許忠信 教授演講 ECFA Emerging Crisis Formosa is Affronting
吸收知識兼學英文喔~山友真的是福氣啦!
You are welcome.

Courage said:
感謝 MD, PhD. 張啟中 醫師 熱情提供資訊給大家分享,看影片請至「性與醫學」主題館,
台中市大同扶輪社 許忠信 教授演講 ECFA Emerging Crisis Formosa is Affronting
吸收知識兼學英文喔~山友真的是福氣啦!

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